市場似乎不再懷疑歐洲中央銀行今天會再次降低再融資利率——再下降25個基點,從3.65%降至3.40%。這一決定已經反映在最近大幅貶值的歐元價值中,並無疑處於超賣狀態。因此,即便在歐洲央行宣布其決策後,也不必指望歐元有顯著的削弱。鑒於市場明顯需要至少一個局部調整,很可能在歐洲央行管委會會議後不久,我們將看到歐元上漲。尤其是如果Christine Lagarde宣布通脹目標已經達到,意味著不再預期進一步的貨幣政策寬鬆。這種情景是相當可能的,因為初步的通脹數據顯示消費者物價增長率已從2.2%放緩至1.8%。最後通脹數據預計會在會議前公佈,應該會確認初步的估計。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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