黃金繼續橫向波動,處於盤整階段,交易員在等待美國消費者通脹數據,該數據預計將於今日稍晚的北美時段發布。這份報告可能對聯邦儲備局的未來政策產生重大影響,並因此影響美元需求。如果通脹超出預期,可能會為XAU/USD帶來新的看漲推動力。
美國美元指數在關鍵經濟數據發布前暫時穩定,而全球股票市場的廣泛情緒也影響了黃金的價格走勢。股市的正面變化正給黃金帶來壓力,但對關稅及其對全球經濟影響的持續擔憂,仍然支持其避險吸引力。此外,對聯儲局降息的預期也幫助黃金維持在高位附近。
對於多頭而言,突破2928–2930美元的水平是確認進一步上行的必要條件。如果出現這種情況,黃金可能會再次測試其在二月份達到的歷史高點2956美元。持續突破這一水平將引發更多的買盤動能,尤其是在日線圖上的正面振盪指標暗示上升趨勢的延續。
另一方面,跌破心理關口2900美元可能會導致初步支撐在2880美元或上周低點附近。跌破2855美元可能引發更深的拋售壓力,向2834–2832美元區域下滑,而最壞的情況是跌至關鍵的2800美元水平。
當1.3322的價格測試發生時,MACD指標已經顯著地移動到零線之上,這限制了該貨幣對的上行潛力。因此,我沒有買入英鎊。
日元交易分析與策略提示 第一次測試142.66的水平時,MACD指標已經顯著跌破零線,這限制了該貨幣對的下行潛力。因此,我選擇不賣出美元。
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