12.03.2025 02:54 PM
紐元/美元匯率在嘗試自0.5680–0.5675水準的反彈過程中面臨困難。受限於溫和的美國美元走強和對美國消費者通脹數據的期待，現貨價格仍承受壓力，交易水平較前一天低10%。
投資者熱切期待美國消費者價格指數（CPI）報告，該報告將為聯邦儲備局未來的利率政策提供指引。這反過來會影響美元的短期走勢，以及紐元/美元匯率。目前，交易者謹慎解除部分看跌美元的頭寸，尤其是在美元最近跌至10月16日以來的最低水平後。
美國與中國之間的地緣政治緊張局勢，以及中國的通縮壓力對風險敏感貨幣的影響，也影響紐元/美元。中國消費者價格下降和美國增加的關稅增加了額外的風險，這可能會對紐西蘭元造成負面影響。
然而，由於預期聯儲局因關稅導致經濟活動放緩而削減利率，美國美元的重大反彈仍不確定。股市的積極情緒也可能限制美元的上行，給紐元提供一些支撐。這強調了在紐元/美元中啟動積極看跌頭寸前需謹慎，因為最近的反彈可能尚未完全消耗。
此外，每日圖表上的技術振盪器仍處於正值區域，這意味著進一步的下行可能有限。
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