Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese Yen

The test of the 152.09 price level occurred when the MACD indicator started moving upward from the zero mark, confirming a suitable entry point for buying the dollar—especially following the downward correction observed throughout the day. However, despite the positive PMI data from the U.S., the pair couldn't gain more than ten pips, after which pressure on the pair returned. Today's Tokyo consumer price index data matched economists' forecasts, and the corporate services price index, which came in below expectations, had no impact on market direction. However, given that Asian traders managed to defend yesterday's low, the chances for the pair to resume its upward trend remain high. I will focus more on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2 for the intraday strategy.

Buy Signal

Scenario #1: Today, I plan to buy USD/JPY if the entry point at around 151.88 (green line on the chart) is reached, targeting growth to the 152.35 level (thicker green line on the chart). At 152.35, I plan to exit the buys and open sales in the opposite direction (targeting a move of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction from this level). Further growth in the pair is possible, but it's best to buy on pullbacks. Important! Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and start its upward movement.

Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 151.49 price level when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward market reversal. Growth can be expected toward the opposite levels of 151.88 and 152.35.

Sell Signal

Scenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after breaking below the 151.49 level (red line on the chart), which will lead to a rapid decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be the 151.07 level, where I plan to exit sales and immediately open buys in the opposite direction (targeting a move of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction from this level). Pressure on the pair may return if there is weak activity around the daily high. Important! Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just starting its downward movement.

Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 151.88 price level when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decline can be expected toward the opposite levels of 151.49 and 151.07.

What's on the Chart:

Thin Green Line: The entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought.

Thick Green Line: The estimated price at which take-profit orders can be set, or profits can be manually secured, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin Red Line: The entry price for selling the trading instrument.

Thick Red Line: The estimated price at which take-profit orders can be set, or profits can be manually secured, as further declines below this level are unlikely.

MACD Indicator: Considering overbought and oversold zones is crucial when entering the market.

Important Note for Beginners:

Novice traders in the Forex market must be cautious when making market entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market before the release of major fundamental reports to avoid getting caught in sharp price movements. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. You can quickly lose your entire deposit without stop-loss orders, especially if you do not use money management and trade with large volumes.

And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one I've presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.