According to the data, the first place among the negative expectations was given to explosive corruption scandals and the dismissal of various ministers. This was stated by 63% of respondents, 47% of them confidently answered the question about possible scandals in 2018 with "probably", and 16% expressed full confidence in this saying "definitely."
50% of respondents do not exclude the economic crisis in the coming year. 12% of respondents are sure about it ("definitely"), the remaining 38% answered "probably".
The third place among the fears is occupied by large-scale technical catastrophes, about which 36% of Russians said: 30% ("probably") believe that catastrophes are possible in 2018, and 6% are sure of their inevitability. According to the results of the survey last year, there were 27% of respondents.
Mass unrest and public protests are expected by 30% of respondents ("probably"), 6% ("definitely") are confident in mass protests. The expectation of citizens of such protests in comparison with last year increased by 14%.
About 25% of respondents ("probably") believe that next year mass epidemics are possible, 5% of respondents are sure about that ("definitely"). In 2017, there were 27%.
25% of respondents ("probably") do not exclude mass ethnic clashes and 6% ("definitely") are confident that they will occur in 2018. Compared to 2017, fears about such conflicts increased dramatically, by 12%.
19% of respondents ("probably") do not rule out the beginning of the war "with the US / NATO", 4% ("definitely") stated their conviction. On the eve of 2017, it was considered possible by 10%.
According to 24% of Russians ("probably"), in 2018 a worsening of the situation in the North Caucasus is possible, 5% of respondents ("definitely") are confident in the occurrence of such conflicts. This is 7% more than a year earlier.
Citizens least expect to see armed conflicts with neighboring countries. Confidence at the beginning of the war with the neighboring country was expressed by 4% of respondents ("definitely"), 19% of respondents ("probably") believe that in 2018 a war with a neighboring state may begin.
Also, fewer negative expectations are associated with a possible coup d'état (12% of respondents ("probably") suggest such a development of the situation, and only 3% expressed confidence in this).
This survey took place between December 1-5, 2017, among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country's regions. The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed: 3.4% for indicators around 50%; 2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%; 2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%; 1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%.
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